Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.865336 3.309197 3.796381 4.370443 5.028048 5.757502 6.627752
2025-01-26 2.282888 2.872678 3.574385 4.469454 5.579560 6.909923 8.624245
2025-02-02 1.944232 2.636719 3.520460 4.727858 6.331409 8.384744 11.210624
2025-02-09 1.625819 2.358936 3.355426 4.803270 6.847168 9.622885 13.671830
2025-02-16 1.372855 2.118152 3.190856 4.838626 7.296193 10.814439 16.220602
2025-02-23 1.133806 1.851856 2.941485 4.703335 7.467044 11.619098 18.309231
2025-03-02 0.927066 1.596857 2.664563 4.475154 7.451043 12.125182 19.992453
2025-03-09 0.810773 1.466318 2.559479 4.495560 7.815732 13.245222 22.751811
2025-03-16 0.692246 1.311542 2.389500 4.379051 7.930818 13.964325 24.928542
2025-03-23 0.648967 1.282529 2.428977 4.625281 8.690697 15.836979 29.263480
2025-03-30 0.597919 1.230452 2.418386 4.776658 9.295117 17.500181 33.411248
2025-04-06 0.533726 1.142577 2.328175 4.764653 9.591688 18.636939 36.720904
2025-04-13 0.449217 1.002869 2.123168 4.511319 9.412626 18.906167 38.505378
2025-04-20 0.419942 0.974140 2.135482 4.694989 10.119012 20.944681 43.951823
2025-04-27 0.405531 0.975474 2.209975 5.017588 11.149559 23.737623 51.227936
2025-05-04 0.374473 0.934197 2.187427 5.128688 11.748895 25.725764 57.086083
2025-05-11 0.342813 0.886283 2.143201 5.185037 12.235286 27.531258 62.764041
2025-05-18 0.302252 0.810015 2.023240 5.051159 12.278211 28.390626 66.488920
2025-05-25 0.260846 0.724480 1.868669 4.812744 12.046567 28.613228 68.809418
2025-06-01 0.239359 0.687112 1.825549 4.838251 12.440684 30.285746 74.618805
2025-06-08 0.212718 0.631394 1.728483 4.715244 12.457374 31.086159 78.477331
2025-06-15 0.207142 0.633286 1.780048 4.981016 13.476734 34.368282 88.633130
2025-06-22 0.197164 0.620950 1.792216 5.144426 14.254234 37.147682 97.858930